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Growth Report – Monday, January 21, 2019

Growth Report – Monday, January 21, 2019

CONSUMER SENTIMENT HITS A 2-YEAR LOW Analysts surveyed by MarketWatch thought the University of Michigan’s preliminary January consumer sentiment index would display a reading of 97.5. Instead, it came in at just 90.7, dropping 7.6 points from its final December mark to its lowest level since October 2016. Richard Curtin, the economist who has long…

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Growth Report – Monday, January 14, 2019

Growth Report – Monday, January 14, 2019

FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE MARCH, INFLATION RETREATS December brought a 0.1% decline in the Consumer Price Index, the first in nine months. As in November, cheaper gasoline was a factor: gas prices took a 7.5% monthly fall. The CPI advanced 1.9% across 2018. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.2%…

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Growth Report – Monday, January 7, 2019

Growth Report – Monday, January 7, 2019

2018 Ended with a hiring surge The latest Department of Labor jobs report suggests an economy with plenty of forward momentum. Employers added 312,000 net new jobs in December, the most in ten months. The main jobless rate rose 0.2% to 3.9% as more Americans entered the labor force; the U-6 rate, measuring underemployment, held…

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Growth Report – Monday, December 31, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, December 31, 2018

Year-End Special Edition: A Look Back at 2018 The close of the year provides an opportunity for investors to step back and consider the wider financial landscape. This week, we’re reviewing some key issues that defined 2018, as well as some factors that may influence financial markets in the coming year. Year in Review
Wall Street…

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Growth Report – Monday, December 17, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, December 17, 2018

As FUEL GROWS CHEAPER, INFLATION BECOMES TAMER Last week, the latest Consumer Price Index arrived, showing no move for headline inflation in November and a 0.2% core inflation increase. That precisely matched the consensus forecast of economists polled by Reuters. What held the headline CPI in check last month? You can credit a sudden drop…

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Growth Report – December 10, 2018

Growth Report – December 10, 2018

HIRING PACE SLOWS In November, U.S. employers added a net 155,000 hires to their payrolls. That compares with a (revised) gain of 237,000 recorded by the federal government for October. The Department of Labor’s latest jobs report showed the main unemployment rate holding steady at just 3.7%, and the U-6 rate (unemployed and underemployed) rising…

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Growth Report – Monday, December 3, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, December 3, 2018

COMMENTS FROM JEROME POWELL INSPIRE A RALLY Wall Street liked what it heard from Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell last week. While speaking Wednesday to an audience in New York, Powell stated that interest rates “remain just below the broad range of estimates of the level that would be neutral for the economy – that…

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Growth Report – Monday, November 26, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, November 26, 2018

SUDDENLY, MORE HOMES SELL Existing home sales improved in October for the first time in seven months. The National Association of Realtors announced a 1.4% monthly increase, while also noting that the annualized sales pace was 5.1% slower than it had been 12 months earlier. Across the year ending in October, the median sales price…

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Growth Report – Monday, November 19, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, November 19, 2018

IN OCTOBER, INFLATION JUMPED THE MOST SINCE JANUARY The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% last month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This was the largest monthly gain for the headline CPI since its 0.5% move in the first month of the year. A 3.0% leap in gasoline prices played a significant role. Core…

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Growth Report – Monday, November 12, 2018

Growth Report – Monday, November 12, 2018

SERVICE SECTOR KEEPS BOOMING At a lofty October mark of 60.3, the Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing purchasing manager index was a bit lower than the record 61.6 reading seen in September, but it also beat the 59.3 consensus forecast from Refinitiv. Across the 12 months ending in October, the mean reading for the index…

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