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Hans Christian Andersen recorded a folktale about a poor farmer who takes his horse to market to sell or exchange for something that will be more practical for his farm. But on the way to his destination, the Old Man (as he’s known in the story) makes a series of ill-advised trades. In each case…
More than 40 years ago, if you had made a list of the most influential investors in America, Peter Lynch would have been near the top. From 1977 to 1990 he ran Fidelity’s Magellan Fund, and during this span compounded capital at a rate of more than 29%.1 He achieved this feat by managing to choose stocks…
Forecasts: Reasonable, Methodical, and Wrong – Presented by Mark K. Lund
Late in 2022 the strategy team at Goldman Sachs Research released their forecast for the U.S. stock market in 2023.1 Based on what had happened the year before and on where the economy appeared to be headed, it seemed to be perfectly reasonable. “Zero earnings growth will drive zero appreciation in the stock market,” wrote…
Growth Reports
Quarterly Client Letter – 2022 Q4 – Provided by Mark K. Lund, Financial Advisor
Every January, it’s typical to reflect on market data from the year past. You’ll see the results in your own quarterly reports, as well as across the usual flurry of broad market analyses. Even when the numbers aren’t what we’d prefer—which has certainly been the case for 2022—we look at them anyway. It’s good to…
If They Can Predict the Weather, Why Not the Stock Market? Humans have always had a strong desire to know the future. Soon after writing was developed in ancient Mesopotamia the Babylonians began using it to catalog thousands of auguries—observances of natural phenomena that they believed could predict major events.1 We still want to know…
The difference between planning ahead and worrying ahead When was the last time you watched the entire safety demonstration by an airline cabin crew? If you’ve traveled enough, you could probably stand up and give most of the presentation yourself. Using props like a seatbelt, an oxygen mask, and a lifejacket, the attendants talk about…
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