The Mark Lund Growth Report for Monday, May 2, 2016

INCOME OUTDISTANCES SPENDING
Personal income rose 0.4% in March, yet the Commerce Department reported personal spending up just 0.1%. That mild uptick contributed to a poor first quarter for GDP; last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated Q1 growth at 0.5%.1

CONSUMER OPTIMISM declineS
The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dipped 1.9 points in April to 94.2. Also descending was the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, which ended April at 89.0 after concluding March at 91.0.1,2

A ROUNDUP OF HOUSING NEWS
New home sales fell 1.5% in March according to the Census Bureau, after a 0.4% retreat in February. The (just-released) February S&P/Case-Shiller home price index shows a 5.4% overall rise in home values across 12 months, down from 5.7% in the January edition. Lastly, the National Association of Realtors reported a 1.4% March gain in its pending home sales index.1

MAJOR INDICES RETREAT
The Nasdaq was the benchmark that stumbled hardest last week on Wall Street, falling 2.67% to settle at 4,775.36 Friday. April ended with the S&P 500 at 2,065.30 and the Dow at 17,773.64; the S&P lost 1.26% for the week; the Dow, 1.28%.3

THIS WEEK: Monday, April’s ISM manufacturing PMI appears plus earnings from AmeriGas, Anadarko Petroleum, Del Taco, Denny’s, Ferrari, Fossil, Loews Corp., and Sysco. Tuesday earnings include results from Archer Daniels Midland, Avis Budget, Boise Cascade, CBS, Clorox, Cummins, CVS Health, Duke Energy, Estee Lauder, Etsy, GrubHub, Hyatt, Macerich, Molson Coors, Papa John’s, Pfizer, Pitney Bowes, Smart & Final, Sprint, Starwood Hotels & Resorts, Valero Energy, Vulcan Materials, and Western Union. On Wednesday, the Street looks at the April ISM services PMI, ADP’s April job-change report and earnings from Allstate, Chubb, Fitbit, GoDaddy, Green Dot, Humana, iHeart Media, Marathon Oil, Mosaic, Noble Energy, Priceline, Prudential Financial, Sempra Energy, Sunoco, Tesla, Tesoro, Time Warner, Transocean, TripAdvisor, Whole Foods, and Zynga. Thursday, an initial claims report and a new Challenger job-cut report appear, plus earnings announcements from Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Activision Blizzard, Alibaba, El Pollo Loco, Fluor, GoPro, Icahn Enterprises, Jamba, Kellogg, Kemper, Kraft Heinz, Merck, MGM Resorts, Motorola Solutions, Nvidia, Occidental Petroleum, Shell Midstream Partners, Wingstop, and Yelp. The Labor Department’s April jobs report arrives Friday, plus earnings from Allergan, Cigna, Exelon, Revlon, and Weyerhaeuser.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +2.00 -1.45 +7.75 +5.64
NASDAQ -4.63 -4.94 +13.24 +10.56
S&P 500 +1.05 -1.97 +10.29 +5.76
REAL YIELD 4/29 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.12% 0.14% 0.75% 2.39%

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 4/29/164,5,6,7
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

WEEKLY QUOTE

“He who lives little, changes little.”

– Anatole France

WEEKLY TIP

Starting your career? Beware of spending money to maintain an image. If you are tempted to “fake it ‘til you make it,” you may soon be awash in consumer debt.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

It cannot see and it feels no pain, despite matter constantly going through its eye. What is it?

Last week’s riddle:
Sandra is running in a half-marathon and she passes the second person in the race. What position is she in?

Last week’s answer:
Second place.

Citations.
1 – tradingeconomics.com/united-states/calendar [4/29/16]
2 – foxbusiness.com/markets/2016/04/29/consumer-sentiment-slips-in-april.html [4/29/16]
3 – markets.on.nytimes.com/research/markets/usmarkets/usmarkets.asp [4/29/16]
4 – markets.wsj.com/us [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F29%2F15&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F29%2F11&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
5 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=4%2F28%2F06&x=0&y=0 [4/29/16]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [4/29/16]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [4/29/16]

This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., for Mark Lund, Mark is known as a Wealth Advisor, The 401k Advisor, Investor Coach, The Financial Advisor, The Financial Planner and author of The Effective Investor. Mark offers investment advisory services through Stonecreek Wealth Advisors, Inc. an independent, fee-only, Registered Investment Advisor firm providing investment and retirement planning for individuals and 401k consulting for small businesses. Stonecreek is located in Salt Lake City, Murray City, West Jordan City, Sandy City, Draper City, South Jordan City, Provo City, Orem City, Lehi City, Highland City, Alpine City, and American Fork City in Utah.

Category: Blog, Growth Report