Growth Report – Monday, August 21, 2017

RETAIL SALES RISE IMPRESSIVELY
In July, they were up 0.6% – the largest monthly increase seen so far in 2017. This gain suggests the economy has gathered momentum in the third quarter. Core retail sales (which do not include food, construction, gas, and auto buying) advanced 0.6% for July as well. The Department of Commerce also revised some spring numbers: retail purchases improved 0.3% in June and were flat a month earlier.1

AN UPTURN FOR CONSUMER SENTIMENT
The University of Michigan’s monthly gauge of how U.S. households view current and future economic conditions rose 4.5 points in its preliminary August edition to 97.6. Not since January has the index been so high. In the past 12 months, it has gained 8.7 points.2

HOUSING STARTS RETREAT
Groundbreaking decreased 4.8% in July, according to the latest monthly Census Bureau snapshot of American construction activity. Building permits were also down for the month, with the pace of permits issued declining by 4.1%.3

WALL STREET BENCHMARKS SEE WEEKLY LOSSES
The Barcelona terror attack and concerns over the federal government’s potential to adjust U.S. economic policy impeded equities last week. During August 14-18, the S&P 500 lost 0.65%, settling at 2,425.55 Friday. In its fourth straight weekly retreat, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.64% to 6,216.53. Like the S&P, the Dow Jones Industrial Average took a second straight weekly loss, ceding 0.84% to reach 21,674.51. In contrast, the Dow Jones Utility Average notched a 1.09% gain across five days. At the end of Friday’s trading session, gold stood at $1,291.60, and WTI crude, at $48.51.4,5

THIS WEEK: Ruby Tuesday announces earnings on Monday. Coty, DSW, Intuit, Kirkland’s, La-Z-Boy, Medtronic, Salesforce, and Toll Brothers join the earnings parade Tuesday. Wednesday offers a Census Bureau report on July new home sales and earnings from American Eagle Outfitters, Eaton Vance, Express, HP, Lowe’s, Regis Corp., and Williams-Sonoma. Wall Street learns about July existing home sales Thursday, while also scrutinizing new initial unemployment claims numbers and earnings news from Abercrombie & Fitch, Autodesk, Broadcom, Burlington Stores, Dollar Tree, GameStop, Hormel Foods, Michaels Companies, J.M. Smucker, Staples, Toro, and Ulta Beauty. Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen speaks on the topic of “financial stability” at the Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole economic symposium Friday; investors will also consider a report on July hard goods orders.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +9.67 +16.54 +12.65 +6.57
NASDAQ +15.48 +18.63 +20.41 +14.82
S&P 500 +8.34 +10.90 +14.21 +6.77
REAL YIELD 8/18 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.43% 0.06% -0.43% 2.45%

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 8/18/175,6,7,8
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

WEEKLY QUOTE

“One man practicing sportsmanship is better than a hundred teaching it.”

– Knute Rockne

WEEKLY TIP

Business owners should dedicate one hour per month to collect and sort receipts. This is vital for independent contractors, whose tax liability is linked to the expenses they deduct.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

I follow you during the daytime, but at night I can’t be seen. What am I?

Last week’s riddle:
Shake me and I’ll do what you want, but first you must extract me from the earth. I may be on the tip of your tongue and over your shoulder. What am I?

Last week’s answer:
Salt.

Citations.
1 – reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-retail-idUSKCN1AV1BZ [8/15/17]
2 – sca.isr.umich.edu/ [8/18/17]
3 – tradingeconomics.com/united-states/housing-starts [8/16/17]
4 – marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-to-fight-for-direction-but-flirts-with-biggest-two-week-drop-in-nearly-a-year-2017-08-18 [8/18/17]
5 – markets.wsj.com/us [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F18%2F16&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F18%2F16&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F18%2F16&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F17%2F07&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F17%2F07&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F17%2F07&x=0&y=0 [8/18/17]
7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [8/18/17]
8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [8/18/17]

This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., for Mark Lund, Mark is known as a Wealth Advisor, The 401k Advisor, Investor Coach, The Financial Advisor, The Financial Planner and author of The Effective Investor. Mark offers investment advisory services through Stonecreek Wealth Advisors, Inc. an independent, fee-only, Registered Investment Advisor firm providing investment and retirement planning for individuals and 401k consulting for small businesses. Stonecreek is located in Salt Lake City, Murray City, West Jordan City, Sandy City, Draper City, South Jordan City, Provo City, Orem City, Lehi City, Highland City, Alpine City, and American Fork City in Utah.

Category: Blog, Growth Report